NatureScot Research Report 1264 - Greenland barnacle geese Branta leucopsis in Britain and Ireland: Results of the International Census, Spring 2020
Published: 2024
Authors: Mitchell, C., & Hall, C. (Wildfowl & Wetlands Trust)
Cite as: Mitchell, C., & Hall, C. 2024. Greenland barnacle geese Branta leucopsis in Britain and Ireland: Results of the International Census, Spring 2020. NatureScot Research Report 1264.
Contents
- Keywords
- Background
- Main findings
- Acknowledgements
- 1. Methods
- 2. Results
- 3. Discussion
- 4. Recommendations
- 5. References
- Annex 1. Sites with nil Greenland barnacle geese in Scotland during the March 2020 census
- Annex 2. Sites not covered during the March 2020 census
- Annex 3. Long-term trends on SPAs in Scotland
Keywords
Greenland barnacle goose; Islay; Scotland; census
Background
Between 1959 and 2020, fifteen full international surveys of the Greenland population of barnacle goose Branta leucopsis have been conducted at wintering sites in Scotland and Ireland using a combination of aerial survey and ground counts. This report presents the results of the 2020 census in Scotland, conducted primarily between 13-20 March, and includes the total count in Ireland in order to estimate the total population size.
Main findings
- In Scotland, 38 sites out of 188 checked, were found to hold 58,135 Greenland barnacle geese. In Ireland, 15,256 geese were counted. The total wintering population was estimated at 73,391 birds. This represents a 1.7% increase on the 2018 census total.
- The number counted on Islay in spring 2020 (33,202), the most important site in the winter range, was 4.5% lower than that recorded in spring 2018, whereas the number of geese throughout the remainder of Scotland had increased by 17.7% since 2018.
- The increase in the number of birds wintering in Scotland in March 2020 was largely driven by increases at a small number of core areas. Five areas (Islay, North Uist (consolidated), Tiree and Coll, Oronsay/Colonsay and South Walls (Orkney)) held most of the geese, accounting for 92.2% of the Scotland total and 73.0% of the international total. Islay alone held 57.1% of the Scottish total and 45.2% of the international total. Overall, numbers at these five core areas have increased more than six-fold since 1959, whereas numbers outside these areas have remained relatively stable.
- During the 2020 census, 12 sites held numbers that exceeded 1% of the latest census total in Scotland and also exceeded 1% of the latest international census total. Of these, Oronsay/Colonsay, South Walls (Orkney) and Grenitote/Sollas (North Uist) are not classified as SPAs for Greenland barnacle goose, although Switha, the principal roost site of the South Walls flock, is an SPA and Grenitote/Sollas may hold birds that use the North Uist Machair and Islands SPA. The suite of SPAs in Scotland (i.e. UK) which have Greenland barnacle goose as a qualifying species held 84.5% of the national and 66.9% of the international population. Four of the 11 SPAs in Scotland (Monach Isles, North Sutherland Coastal Islands, Shiant Isles and Treshnish Isles) did not hold internationally or nationally important numbers of Greenland barnacle geese.
- The number of barnacle geese breeding in Iceland is increasing. Recent ringing confirms that these birds winter in areas traditionally used by birds from Greenland. It is highly likely, therefore, that the barnacle geese nesting in Iceland form part of one Greenland/Iceland/UK/Ireland population.
Acknowledgements
Aerial counts were greatly assisted by pilot Sam Schoneveld (Ravenair). Morven Laurie and numerous NatureScot counters undertook ground counts on Islay and mainland North Uist. John Bowler, Pat Batty, Ben Jones, Bruce Taylor, Bob McMillan, John Poyner, Stephen Kirkup, Stuart Williams, Andy Knight, Donald Mitchell, Alan Leitch, Tim Wooton, Johnathan Ford, Stan Groundwater, Simon Cohen and Malcolm Ogilvie provided counts and valuable advice about the status of winter flocks in Scotland. Grateful thanks to all and apologies to anyone inadvertently omitted.
NatureScot and WWT funded the survey in Scotland. The count total from Ireland was kindly provided by Alyn Walsh and David Tierney of the National Parks & Wildlife Service.
1. Methods
The method employed for the international census has been previously described in full (Walsh & Merne, 1988). Weather conditions, length of daylight hours and type of aircraft (in the past) have meant that aerial surveys were more easily carried out in late March or early April (Boyd, 1968). Aerial surveys are conducted using a twin-propeller aircraft, flying at approximately 150–200 m above ground or sea. Counts are undertaken as the geese are flushed by the approaching aircraft. One observer makes a visual estimate of flock size, while the second attempts to photograph the geese. The photographs are examined later and, if of good quality, are used to derive the count for the census total. The visual count is used where the quality of the photograph is poor or where there were difficulties photographing the entire flock. Where practicable, and given flying and weather conditions at the time, all islands where Greenland barnacle geese have previously been recorded are surveyed, as are adjacent mainland coast where suitable vegetation is present.
Ground counts were coordinated with the aerial survey in each country, and most were conducted within a few days of the flights (see Table 1 for dates). However, counts outwith, but close to, this period were accepted if counters could not undertake counts on the scheduled dates.
Photo verification of the flocks encountered during the aerial survey provides greater accuracy than visual estimates made at the time. The accuracy of visual counts has, however, been shown to be acceptable when numbers have been compared to those derived from photographic verification of individual flocks (Delany & Ogilvie, 1994; Cranswick et al., 2000).
2. Results
2.1 Timing of counts and coverage
The aerial survey in Scotland was undertaken on 13 March 2020 and followed the following schedule: Liverpool to islands off Islay, west coast Argyll, Mull, Gunna, Small Isles, islands from Barra Head to Barra, Sound of Barra, North Uist/Sound of Harris to Stornoway. The aerial survey in Ireland was undertaken using an Air Corp Reims Rocket Cessna 172 and was carried out on two days, 15-16 March 2020. Ground counts in Scotland were mostly undertaken between 17 and 20 March 2020, although where coverage was not possible, some counts outwith the survey period were included.
2.2 Population size and distribution
During the 2020 census, 188 islands and mainland sites in Scotland were checked and 38 were found to hold Greenland barnacle geese (range 2–33,202 birds, Table 1, Figure 1). Sites visited in Scotland, but where no geese were found are listed in Annex 1. Sites not checked due to restricted flying time (see Discussion) are shown in Annex 2.
The total in Scotland was 58,135 geese, while that of Ireland was 15,256 geese. Thus, the total population estimate was 73,391 birds.
| Area | Date | Site | Grid reference | Number of geese | Survey method 1 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Islay | - | - | - | - | - |
| 1 | 17/18-Mar | Islay | NR3362 | 33,202 | G |
| Islay islands | - | - | - | - | - |
| 2 | 13-Mar | Eilean Bhride | NR4547 | 197 | P |
| Sound of Jura | - | - | - | - | - |
| 3 | 13-Mar | Eilean Mor (off Danna) | NR6675 | 915 2 | P |
| Inner Hebrides | - | - | - | - | - |
| 4 | 20 Mar | Colonsay/Oronsay | NR3588 | 2,868 3 | G |
| 5 | 13-Mar | Bac Mor | NM2438 | 81 | P |
| 6 | 13-Mar | Fladda | NM2943 | 31 | P |
| 7 | 13 Mar | Muck/Eilean nan Each | NM4279 | 73 | P |
| 8 | 19/20-Mar | Tiree | NL9844 | 5,656 | G |
| 9 | 17-Mar | Coll | NM1554 | 1,146 | G |
| Outer Hebrides | - | - | - | - | - |
| 10 | 19-Mar | Borve Point, Barra | NF6501 | 220 4 | G |
| 11 | 19-Mar | Fiaray, Sound of Barra | NF7010 | 240 4 | G |
| 12 | 13 Mar | Monach Isles | NF6163 | 564 | P |
| 13 | 20-Mar | Baleshare, North Uist | NF7762 | 400 | G |
| 14 | 13-Mar | Kirkibost/Knockline | NF7565 | 331 | P |
| 15 | 20-Mar | Paible/Balemore, North Uist | NF7466 | 2,640 | G |
| 16 | 20-Mar | Balranald/Goula, North Uist | NF7070 | 910 | G |
| 17 | 20-Mar | Vallay, North Uist | NF7776 | 525 | G |
| 18 | 20-Mar | Grenitote/Sollas, North Uist | NF8175 | 1,076 | G |
| 19 | 20-Mar | Newton, North Uist | NF8877 | 965 | G |
| 20 | 20-Mar | Ahmore, North Uist | NF8474 | 26 | G |
| 21 | 20-Mar | Berneray, North Uist | NF9182 | 1,467 | G |
| 22 | 13-Mar | Opsay, Sound of Harris | NF9876 | 78 | P |
| 23 | 13-Mar | Boreray, Sound of Harris | NF8581 | 578 | P |
| Minch | - | - | - | - | - |
| 24 | 13-Mar | En an Tighe, Shiants | NG4297 | 175 | P |
| Skye | - | - | - | - | - |
| 25 | 13-Mar | Isay | NG2157 | 273 | P |
| 26 | 13-Mar | South Ascrib (Ascribs) | NG3063 | 53 | P |
| 27 | 13-Mar | Eilean Creagach (Ascribs) | NG2965 | 23 | P |
| 28 | 14-Feb | Eilean Trodday | NG4479 | 40 5 | G |
| Wester Ross | - | - | - | - | - |
| 29 | 13-Mar | Gruinard | NG9494 | 90 6 | G |
| 30 | 19 Mar | Achiltibuie | NC0208 | 137 | G |
| Sutherland | - | - | - | - | - |
| 31 | 26-Mar | Eilean Hoan/Durness | NC4467 | 420 | G |
| 32 | 13-Mar | Eilean nan Ron/Kyle of Tongue | NC6365 | 156 | G |
| Orkney | - | - | - | - | - |
| 33 | 12-Mar | South Walls | ND3289 | 1,738 | G |
| 34 | 20-Mar | Loch of Skaill | HY2318 | 88 | G |
| 35 | 20-Mar | Loch of Harray | HY2915 | 2 | G |
| 36 | 17-Mar | South Ronaldsay | ND4684 | 737 | G |
| 37 | 15-Mar | The Loons | HY2524 | 2 | G |
| 38 | 26-Mar | Papa Westray | HY4952 | 12 | G |
| Scotland total | - | - | - | 58,135 | - |
| Ireland total | - | - | - | 15,256 | - |
| Total population | - | - | - | 73,391 | - |
1 G denotes ground count and P denotes aerial photographic verification.
2 The flock counted on Eilean Mor also uses Danna. 910 barnacle geese were counted on Danna on 16 March 2020.
3 Traditionally reported on jointly; individual island counts were 2,283 on Oronsay and 585 on Colonsay.
4 Regular wintering flocks, reported by B Taylor, but not located during aerial survey.
5 Counted on 14 Feb 2020. A regular wintering flock, but not located during aerial survey.
6 Regular wintering flock, reported by J Poyner, but not located during aerial survey.
Map of Scotland showing numbered sites (key to site numbers given in Table 1) marked by dots where Greenland barnacle geese were counted in the March 2020 census. The size of the dots corresponds to the size of the count in 5 bands of 1-100, 101-500, 501-1000, 1001-5656 and 33202. The last band only includes one data point for Islay.
2.3 Long-term trends
The total number of Greenland barnacle geese in March 2020 (73,391) had decreased by 9.0% from a peak of 80,670 in 2013, but increased by 1.7% compared to 2018 (Table 2, Figure 2). The long-term increase on Islay, ongoing since the 1960s (except for a drop in numbers in the 1980s), appears to have stopped during the past five years with a 26.1% decline between 2013 and 2020 and a 4.5% decline between 2018 and 2020. In contrast, overall numbers elsewhere in Scotland remained relatively constant throughout the 1970s and 1980s, but have increased since 1994, and increased by 17.7% between 2018 and 2020.
| Site | March 2013 | March 2018 | March 2020 | Change 2018-2020 (%) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Islay | 44,914 | 34,750 | 33,202 | -4.5 |
| Scotland excluding Islay | 18,256 | 21,175 | 24,933 | +17.7 |
| Scotland total | 63,170 | 55,925 | 58,135 | +4.0 |
| Ireland total | 17,500 | 16,237 | 15,256 | -6.0 |
| Population total | 80,670 | 72,162 | 73,391 | +1.7 |
Line graph showing the census totals for Greenland barnacle geese from winter 1959/60 to 2019/20. Four lines are plotted; total population, Islay population, Scottish population excluding Islay and Irish population. From an initial low level (total count below 10,000 in 1959/60), the populations have increased over the timeframe. The total population rose to a high of 80,670 in 2012/13 before dropping down slightly in the two subsequent census periods. The Islay population shows a similar trajectory, reaching a peak of 44,914 in 2012/13. The Scottish population (excluding Islay) has risen more slowly, but has shown an increase in the past 20 years, with the latest census count the highest counted at 24,933. The Irish population has also risen very slowly, but after the 2012/13 peak of 17,500 has shown a similar decline to the total population over the past two census periods.
3. Discussion
3.1 Census total and accuracy
The population estimate of Greenland barnacle geese, based on the census of known and potential wintering sites carried out in Britain and Ireland in March 2020, was 73,391, 1.7% higher than that recorded in March 2018 and the second highest total to date.
Overall, 94.2% of the census total in Scotland comprised estimates from ground counts and 5.8% (13 flocks) were counted from photographs taken during the aerial survey (Table 1). All the counts made during the aerial survey were taken from photographs (e.g. Figure 3) and no visual estimates (where no photograph was available) were necessary. This increases the accuracy of the individual site counts and indicates that the accuracy of the overall census total is likely to be high.
Count conditions in Scotland on 13 March were good, with light winds and no rain. However, the forecast for weather conditions on 14 March deteriorated such that flying could not take place as scheduled, and the original flight plan needed to be altered on the afternoon of 13 March. Parts of the scheduled survey area were omitted from the flight route in order to maximise coverage on 13 March of areas thought to hold geese (see below). The ground counts were largely synchronised, with the majority of the counts in Scotland made over a four-day period (17-20 March). In Ireland, the survey was carried out on 15/16 March. In an analysis of spring arrival dates in Iceland, Gunnarsson & Tómasson (2011) noted first arrivals around 15 April, and no Greenland barnacle geese were reported in Iceland at the time of the 2020 census (A. Sigfusson pers. comm). Thus, it seems likely that the census took place before any geese had left Scotland and migrated to Iceland.
Coverage was thought to be good with almost all known haunts of Greenland barnacle geese checked during the census (but see below). Prior to the census, RSPB reserve wardens, Highland Rangers and NatureScot staff reported no new sites that were thought to hold barnacle geese. However, Greenland barnacle geese were not found during the aerial survey at three sites known to hold geese. Counts for these sites obtained outwith the core census period were used for the international population estimate: counts of 220 barnacle geese at Borve Point, Barra, 240 geese on Fiaray, Sound of Barra in mid-March 2020 and 40 birds on Eilean Trodday, Skye, on 14 February 2020. All three sites normally hold geese throughout the winter period and thus merited inclusion in the final population estimate.
Due to the cancellation of flying on the second day, the sections of the coastline not checked during the aerial survey were the west coast of Harris/Lewis from Toe Head (NF9594) to Loch Roag (NB1233), and the west coast of Wester Ross from Loch Gairloch (NG5776) to Eilean an Roin Mor (NC1758). The west coast of Harris/Lewis has not held any barnacle geese since 65 were counted at Old Hill (NB1143) in March 1999 and 10 were recorded on Floday (NB1033) in March 2008, so it is unlikely that large numbers of geese were missed there. On the west coast of Wester Ross, ground counters were asked to check the two main resorts Gruinart/Mungasdale (NG9693) and Achitibuie (NC0208) and counts from there were obtained (Table 1). Two other sites in this section of coastline have held barnacle geese since 2013: Eilean Chrona (NC0633) in Eddrachilis Bay held 32 birds in March 2018, and Eilean an Roin Mor, (NC1758) held 69 birds at the same time. Neither island was checked in March 2020, although the omission of potentially 100 birds (0.14% of the population total) is not considered to substantially affect the census total.
No barnacle geese were recorded on Luing (NM7408) during the aerial survey despite thoroughly checking all potential feeding fields from the air. This area held 490 birds in March 2013 and 530 birds in March 2018. However, local observers suggested that the number of barnacle geese at Danna (NR6978) had increased by ‘about 500 birds’ in the weeks prior to the census. The move may have been caused by disturbance to the flock on Luing. Thus, it is likely that the 915 barnacle geese counted on Eilean Mor (NR6675), the island next to Danna, during the aerial census included birds from both Luing and Danna.
Considering the caveats outlined above, none are considered to substantially affect the census total and it is therefore recommended that the population estimate for Greenland barnacle goose is 73,391 birds.
3.2 Site use
The number of occupied sites in Scotland supporting >10 birds, whilst variable between censuses, increased since 1959/60 and has remained fairly stable since 1983/84 (Figure 4). The number of occupied sites in Scotland in 2020 (36 sites holding more than 10 birds) was the equal fourth highest on record.
Line graph showing the number of Scottish sites occupied by Greenland barnacle geese (>10 birds) from 1959/60 to 2019/20. The number of sites has varied over time, from the mid-20s to mid-30s in more recent years.
The increase in abundance of the population in Scotland appears to have largely been driven by numbers at a small number of core areas. Currently, five core areas, Islay, North Uist (consolidated), Tiree and Coll, Oronsay/Colonsay and South Walls, hold the majority of geese: 73.0% of the international total and 92.2% of the Scotland total in March 2020. Islay alone held 45.2% of the population total and 57.1% of the Scotland total. Overall, numbers at these five core areas have increased more than six-fold since 1959 (Figure 5). The number of geese outside these core areas has remained at around 4,000 birds (range 1,695 – 6,166) since the late 1950s (Figure 5).
Line graph showing the census totals for Greenland barnacle geese from winter 1959/60 to 2019/20 in Scotland. Three lines are plotted; all sites, five core areas (includes Islay, North Uist (consolidated), Tiree and Coll, Oronsay/Colonsay and South Walls), and all other sites. The lines for all sites and the five core areas track similarly (increasing over time with a peak in 2012/13), whilst the line for all other sites remains relatively stable.
Census data indicate that use of some of the smaller sites, such as the Treshnish Isles and the Shiants, has decreased since the late 1970s/early 1980s.
3.3 Nationally and internationally important sites
A site is considered internationally important if it regularly supports 1% or more of the individuals in a population (following criterion 5 of the Ramsar Convention; Wetlands International 2012), and in Britain, a site is considered nationally important if it regularly holds 1% or more of the British population estimate. Assessments of site importance are usually made on the basis of a minimum of three years’ count data within a five year period, but, in the absence of regular counts at many of these sites, presented here are the 2020 site counts against 1% of the international and British population estimates based on this census (1% threshold for international importance would be 734 geese, and for British national importance would be 581 geese). (Note that these are not the currently accepted international and national 1% thresholds, which remain 810 (Wetlands International, 2018) and 560 (Frost et al., 2019), respectively, and that a comprehensive assessment of site importance would use annual peak site counts).
During the 2020 census, 12 sites held geese in numbers that exceeded the 2020 international threshold, and the same 12 sites also exceeded 1% of the 2020 British population estimate (Table 3). The number of sites exceeding internationally important numbers declined to the mid-1990s and then increased thereafter until the latest census. The number of sites exceeding nationally important numbers (based on the 1% threshold estimated at that time) fluctuated between 1959 and 1993, but since then has slowly increased (Figure 6).
Line graph showing the number of Scottish sites holding nationally and internationally important numbers of Greenland barnacle geese from winter 1959/60 to 2019/20. During the 2020 census, 12 sites held geese in numbers that exceeded the 2020 national and international thresholds. The number of sites exceeding internationally important numbers declined to the mid-1990s and then increased thereafter until the latest census. The number of sites exceeding nationally important numbers fluctuated between 1959 and 1993, but since then has slowly increased.
Many of the sites exceeding 1% of the international or national census totals in 2020 are protected wholly, or in part, by classification as Special Protection Areas (SPAs) under the EC Birds Directive. Of those sites where numbers exceeded the international threshold, Oronsay/Colonsay (Argyll), South Walls and South Ronaldsay (both Orkney), Eilean Mor/Isle of Danna (Argyll) and Grenitote/Sollas (North Uist) are not classified as SPAs for Greenland barnacle geese.
It is important to note that goose SPAs generally contain roosting rather than feeding habitat. The site boundaries used in this census may not, therefore match site boundaries of SPAs, so the numbers quoted are indicative only. For example, 33,202 barnacle geese were counted on Islay in March 2020, and some, but not all, of these use three SPAs where the geese are a qualifying species. Similarly on Tiree, geese counted roost and feed both within and outwith the SPA boundary. On some offshore island groups, geese can be quite mobile, moving from within the SPA boundary to just outside it. This is particularly the case for North Uist Machair and Islands SPA where the geese range between several offshore islands and mainland areas, either within a day or between days. Wherever possible, allowances have been made to allocate counts of Greenland barnacle geese to functional feeding/roosting units that include SPAs.
The suite of SPAs in Scotland that have Greenland barnacle goose as a qualifying species, the percentage of the population that they held during the 2020 census and the current frequency of monitoring are shown in Tables 3 and 4. Overall, in March 2020, the suite of SPAs in Scotland held 66.9% of the international population and 84.5% of the national population. Eleven SPAs in Scotland have Greenland barnacle goose as a qualifying feature, but during the 2020 census, four of these SPAs (Monach Isles, North Sutherland Coastal islands, Shiant Isles and Treshnish Isles) did not hold internationally or nationally important numbers. The long-term trends on nine SPAs in Scotland are presented in Annex 3.
| Site name (count) | SPA classification where Greenland barnacle geese are a qualifying feature of the SPA |
|---|---|
| Islay (33,202) | Gruinart Flats, Laggan, Bridgend Flats, |
| Tiree (5,656) | Sleibhtean agus Cladach Thiriodh |
| Oronsay/Colonsay (2,868) | - |
| Balemore/Paible, North Uist (2,640) | North Uist Machair and Islands |
| South Walls, Orkney (1,738) | Switha (the main roost of this flock) is an SPA |
| Berneray, North Uist (1,467) | North Uist Machair and Islands |
| Coll (1,146) | Coll |
| Grenitote/Sollas, North Uist (1,076) | - |
| Newton (965) | North Uist Machair and Islands |
| Eilean Mor/Isle of Danna, Argyll (915) | - |
| Balranald/Goula, North Uist (910) | North Uist Machair and Islands |
| South Ronaldsay (737) | Switha (the main roost of this flock) is an SPA |
| SPA code | SPA name | SPA total in March 2020 | % of international population | % of national population | Frequency of monitoring |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9003051, 9003052 & 9003053 | Islay 1 | 33,202 | 45.2 | 57.1 | Annual |
| 9003031 | Coll | 1,146 | 1.6 | 2.0 | Annual |
| 9001071 | Monach Isles | 564 | 0.8 | 0.9 | c. 3 years |
| 9001211 | North Sutherland Coastal Islands 2 | 576 | 0.8 | 0.9 | Annual |
| 9001051 | North Uist Machair and Islands 3 | 5,176 | 7.1 | 8.9 | Annual |
| 9001041 | Shiant Isles | 175 | 0.2 | 0.3 | c. 3 years |
| 9002891 | Switha 4 | 2,475 | 3.4 | 4.3 | Annual |
| 9002032 | Sleibhtean agus Cladach Thiriodh (Tiree Wetlands and Coast) | 5,656 | 7.7 | 9.7 | Annual |
| 9003041 | Treshnish Isles | 112 | 0.2 | 0.2 | c. 3 years |
| Total | - | 49,082 | 66.9 | 84.5 | - |
3.4 Counts on North Uist
The number of Greenland barnacle geese wintering on the mainland of North Uist and nearby islands has increased since the late 1980s. The proximity of sheep-grazed islands to managed grassland fields on the mainland can lead to movements of birds between them, notably when they are disturbed. Regular (several times in a winter) counts on the mainland are organised and undertaken by NatureScot, but surveillance is somewhat complicated by the geographical range of the mainland count areas, only some of which are within the North Uist Machair and Islands SPA. The aerial survey allows offshore islands to be checked simultaneously, allowing a total count for the whole of North Uist to be achieved. In order to set a standard form of reporting on counts of Greenland barnacle geese in this area, the following has been done:
- Regular counts from the NatureScot count areas, which are shown as black hatched areas in Figure 7.
- The count for the North Uist Machair and Islands SPA in March 2020, which includes birds recorded at sites 13, 14, 16, 17, 19, 21 and 22 (see Table 5).
- The total count for ‘North Uist consolidated’, which is bounded by the green line shown in Figure 7.
Map of North Uist showing the Greenland barnacle goose count areas (black/hatched and named as Baleshare, Kirkibost, Claddach Kirkibost, Paible, Balranald, Balmartin, Griminish, Vallay, Sollas, Ahmore, Newton and Berneray) with the North Uist Machair and Islands SPA (red/solid). A green line is drawn around all of these areas to define the North Uist consolidated area used in this report.
The number of Greenland barnacle geese recorded in North Uist in March 2020 is summarised in Table 5. The switch in habitat use from offshore islands, where the geese take advantage of semi-natural grasslands which were often summer grazed, to managed grasslands on mainland areas is particularly noticeable at this site. The proportion of birds counted in the North Uist (consolidated) area (see Figure 7) using the mainland area has increased from none up to 1994, to 0.79 in 2020 with a corresponding decrease in the use of offshore islands (Figure 8).
| Site 1 | Count unit/site | Central grid reference | NatureScot count areas 2 | North Uist Machair and Islands SPA total 3 | North Uist consolidated 4 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Baleshare | NF7762 | 400 | 400 | 400 |
| 14 | Kirkibost | NF7565 | - | 331 | 331 |
| 15 | Paible | NF7466 | 2,640 | - | 2,640 |
| 16 | Balranald/Goula | NF7070 | 910 | 910 | 910 |
| 17 | Vallay | NF7776 | 525 | 525 | 525 |
| 18 | Sollas | NF8175 | 1,076 | - | 1,076 |
| 19 | Newton | NF8877 | 965 | 965 | 965 |
| 20 | Ahmore | NF8474 | 26 | - | 26 |
| 21 | Berneray | NF9182 | 1,467 | 1,467 | 1,467 |
| 22 | Opsay | NF9876 | - | - | 78 |
| 23 | Boreray | NF8581 | - | 578 | 578 |
| Total | - | - | 8,009 | 5,176 | 8,996 |
1 See Table 1 and Figure 1 for site numbering.
2 NatureScot count areas are shown as shaded black/stippled areas in Figure 10.
3 North Uist Machair and Islands SPA are shaded red in Figure 10.
4 All counts from area bounded by green line in Figure 10.
Line graph showing that the proportion of Greenland barnacle geese counted on mainland North Uist has increased from 0 to 0.8, and the proportion on offshore islands has decreased from 1 to 0.2 between 1983 and 2020.
3.5 Barnacle geese breeding in Iceland
Barnacle geese now breed in Austur-Skaftafellssýsla county, south-east Iceland, in an area where birds from the Greenland flyway are known to stage on autumn passage. In 2009, about 40 barnacle geese were known to nest in the area. Fieldwork in the summer of 2014 revealed at least 509 nests, an increase of over 1,200 % in five years (Stefánsson et al., 2015). By 2017, the number of nests had increased to nearly 2,000, each comprising two adults. In addition, the summering population will include many hundreds of non-breeding geese and failed breeders, in addition to the goslings produced from each successful nest. In total, 941 birds have been caught and ringed there during their annual wing moult in July and sightings of the marked geese indicate that the Iceland-breeding birds winter throughout the range of the Greenland population (Figure 9). Most of the sightings have been on Islay, Oronsay and North Uist, although this reflects observer effort. Most of the uninhabited offshore islands, where barnacle geese winter, have not been checked for marked birds.
Map showing the distribution of Greenland barnacle geese counted during the 2020 census (green dots, the size of which correspond to the size of the count, with categories of 1-100, 101-500, 501-1,000, 1,001-5,000 and 5,000+) and the distribution of sightings of colour-ringed geese (red dots, the size of which correspond to the number of sightings, with categories of 1-10, 11-50 and 51+). Most of the sightings have been on Islay, Oronsay and North Uist, which are areas with greatest ring-reading effort.
Thus, it is highly likely that the increasing number of barnacle geese nesting in Iceland form part of one Greenland/Iceland/UK/Ireland population. This appears to be a case of ‘short-stopping’, where geese start to breed along the flyway route, short of the normal breeding areas. This has also occurred in the Russia/Netherlands population, where barnacle geese started to breed on Gotland, Sweden (57°30′N 18°33′E), along the flyway route, but short of the normal breeding areas in arctic Russia (Larsson et al., 1988). The contribution of the Iceland breeding birds to the winter population merits further investigation since the annual breeding success and other demographic rates of the birds from the two geographical areas may diverge.
4. Recommendations
The primary objectives of the census are to provide a contemporary assessment of population size and to provide information on site importance. Meeting these two requirements may, however, need different methods.
4.1 Timing and frequency of population counts
A monitoring programme of one international census every five years, was carried out up to winter 2017/18. To monitor changes in population size at a time when adaptive management of geese is ongoing and to track the possible effects of the rapid increase in the number of birds breeding in Iceland, a survey every five years was deemed insufficiently sensitive. A census every three years is recommended in the Adaptive Flyway Management Programme for this population under the AEWA European Goose Management Platform (Nagy et al., 2020) and has therefore been adopted (as resources allow) for this population.
An analysis of arrival dates of spring migrants recorded in Iceland suggested that, in recent years, Greenland barnacle geese had begun to arrive earlier in the year. This was by approximately 0.67 days per year between 1988 and 2009, or by up to 14 days over the 21-year study period, although the first arrivals in the mid-2000s were on or about 15 April (Gunnarsson & Tómasson, 2011). Thus, it seems prudent to continue to carry out future aerial surveys in either early or mid-March to avoid missing birds which may start their migration in early April.
4. 2 Monitoring of nationally and internationally important sites
Numbers of Greenland barnacle geese at several of the key sites are surveyed annually and, in some cases, at multiple times over the winter. However, there are limited data available for most other sites. Within protected areas, this data is important to assess the condition of the goose feature for Site Condition Monitoring (JNCC, 2004). If the feature is based on the number of geese at a site, it is recommended that surveys are conducted in at least three different relevant seasons within the assessment cycle; an average of three or more counts could then be used to assess the feature condition against pre-set targets and allow confident judgement of the trend in condition of the interest feature. Some SPAs are counted annually (see Table 4) although offshore islands, necessitating aerial survey, are often counted less frequently.
5. References
Boyd, H. 1968. Barnacle geese in the west of Scotland, 1957-67. Wildfowl, 19, 96–107.
Cranswick, P.A., Mitchell, C., Merne, O.J., Kershaw, M., Delany, S.N., MacKay, M. & Lilley, R. 2000. Status and distribution of the Greenland population of barnacle goose in Britain and Ireland, 1993 to 1999. The Wildfowl & Wetlands Trust, Slimbridge.
Delany, S. & Ogilvie, M.A. 1994. Greenland barnacle geese in Scotland, March 1994. The Wildfowl & Wetlands Trust, Slimbridge.
Frost, T.M., Austin, G.E., Hearn, R.D., McAvoy, S.G., Robinson, A.E., Stroud, D.A., Woodward, I.D. & Wotton, S.R. 2019. Population estimates of wintering waterbirds in Great Britain. British Birds, 112, 130–145.
Gunnarsson, T.G. & Tómasson, G. 2011. Flexibility in spring arrival of migratory birds at northern latitudes under rapid temperature changes. Bird Study, 58, 1–12.
JNCC, 2004. Common Standard for Monitoring designated sites: guidance for setting and assessing conservation objectives. Joint Nature Conservation Committee, Peterborough.
Larsson, K., Forslund, P., Gustafsson L. & Ebbinge, B. 1988. From the High Arctic to the Baltic; the successful establishment of a barnacle goose population on Gotland, Sweden. Ornis Scand, 19, 182-189.
Nagy, S., Heldbjerg, H., Høy Jensen, G., Johnson, F., Madsen, J., Meyers, E. & Dereliev, S. 2020. Adaptive Flyway Management Programme for the East Greenland/Scotland & Ireland population of the Barnacle Goose Branta leucopsis AEWA, Bonn.
Stefánsson, J.H., Hermannsdóttir, K. & Guðmundsson, S. 2015. Helsingjar í Austur-Skaftafellssýslu – stofnstærð og varpútbreiðsla 2014. Náttúrustofa Suðausturlands. Höfn í Hornafirði. 17 bls.
Walsh, A. & Merne, O.J. 1988. Barnacle geese Branta leucopsis in Ireland, spring 1988. Irish Birds, 3, 539–550.
Wetlands International, 2012. Waterbird Population Estimates - Fifth Edition. Wetlands International, Wageningen.
Wetlands International, 2018. Report on the Conservation Status of Migratory Waterbirds in the Agreement Area. Wetlands International report to the African-Eurasian Migratory Waterbird Agreement
Annex 1. Sites with nil Greenland barnacle geese in Scotland during the March 2020 census
| Site | Grid reference |
|---|---|
| Islay islands | - |
| Texa | NR3943 |
| Nave Island | NR2875 |
| Eilean a'Chuirn | NR4748 |
| Jura islands | - |
| Glas Eilean | NR4464 |
| Am Froach Eilean | NR4662 |
| Brosdale Island | NR4962 |
| Eilean nan Gabhar | NR5367 |
| Eilean nam Coinean | NR5468 |
| Eilean Bridhe | NR5569 |
| Sound of Jura | - |
| Corr Eilean | NR6775 |
| Eilean Nan Coinean | NR7186 |
| Eilean Dubh | NR7187 |
| Carsaig | NR7389 |
| Garbh Reisa | NR7597 |
| Reisa an t-Sruith | NR7399 |
| Reisa Mhic Phaidean | NM7501 |
| Garvellochs | - |
| Eileach an Naoimh | NM6409 |
| A'Chuli | NM6511 |
| Garbh Eileach | NM6611 |
| Dun Chonnuill | NM6812 |
| Sound of Luing | - |
| Luing | NM7408 |
| Eilean Dubh Mor | NM6910 |
| Eilean Dubh Beg | NM6911 |
| Lunga | NM7008 |
| Fiola Meadhonach | NM7109 |
| Rubha Fiola | NM7110 |
| Ormsa | NM7111 |
| Eilean Mhic Chiarain | NM7211 |
| Belnahua | NM7112 |
| Insh Island | NM7319 |
| Firth of Lorn | - |
| Bach Island | NM7726 |
| Mull | - |
| Eilean Mor | NM3416 |
| Eilean a Chalmain | NM3017 |
| Eilean Dubh | NM3018 |
| Eilean nam Muc | NM2819 |
| Eilean Dubh | NM2820 |
| Eilean Ghomain | NM2820 |
| Soa Island | NM2419 |
| Iona | NM2723 |
| Inch Kenneth | NM4335 |
| Little Colonsay | NM3736 |
| Staffa/Treshnish Isles | - |
| Staffa | NM3235 |
| Bac Beag | NM2437 |
| Lunga | NM2441 |
| Burgh More | NM3044 |
| Burgh Beg | NM3044 |
| Small Isles | - |
| Eigg | NM3971 |
| Canna/Sanday | NG2505 |
| Islands south of Barra | - |
| Berneray | NL5680 |
| Mingulay | NL5683 |
| Geirum More | NL5581 |
| Solon Mor | NL5784 |
| Solon Beg | NL5784 |
| Outer Heisker | NL5786 |
| Pabbay | NL6087 |
| Lingay | NL6089 |
| Greanamul | NL6289 |
| Flodday | NL6192 |
| Sandray | NL6491 |
| Muldoanich | NL6096 |
| Biruaslam | NL6096 |
| Vatersay | NL6395 |
| Sound of Barra | - |
| Fuday | NF7308 |
| Orosay | NF7106 |
| Lingay-fhada | NF7303 |
| Garbh Lingay | NF7403 |
| Gighay | NF7604 |
| Hellisay | NF7503 |
| Lamalum | NF7503 |
| Flodday | NF7502 |
| Fuiay | NF7402 |
| Stack Islands | NF7807 |
| Lingay | NF7511 |
| Monach Isles | - |
| Shillay | NF5962 |
| Ceann Iar | NF6261 |
| Sound of Harris | - |
| Ensay | NG9786 |
| Killegary | NG9783 |
| Gumersam Mhor | NG0282 |
| Gumersam Bheag | NG0381 |
| Langay | NG0182 |
| Gilsay | NG0280 |
| Lingay | NG0179 |
| Groay | NG0079 |
| Scaravay | NG0178 |
| Narstay | NF9777 |
| Sarstay | NF9776 |
| Hermetray | NF9874 |
| Huletray | NF9875 |
| Vaccasay | NF9775 |
| Groatay | NF9873 |
| Taghaigh | NF9775 |
| Sursaigh | NF9676 |
| Votersay | NF9575 |
| Stromay | NF9475 |
| Torogay | NF9278 |
| Lingay | NF8778 |
| Pabbay | NF8988 |
| Shillay | NF8891 |
| Shiants | - |
| Eilean Mhuire | NG4398 |
| Garbh Ebn | NG4198 |
| Skye | - |
| Mingay | NG2257 |
| Ascribs, Eilean Garave | NG2964 |
| Ascribs, Eilean Iosal | NG2865 |
| Staffin Island | NG4969 |
| Eilean Flodigarry | NG4871 |
| Sgeirna Eireann | NG4872 |
| Fladdaigh Chuain | NG3880 |
| Eilean More | NG3657 |
Annex 2. Sites not covered during the March 2020 census
| Site | Grid reference |
|---|---|
| West coast Harris | - |
| Gasker | NA8711 |
| Soay Mor | NB0605 |
| Soay Beg | NB0505 |
| Fladday | NA9915 |
| Kearstay | NA9617 |
| Greine Sgeir | NB0116 |
| Liongam | NA9919 |
| Eilean Mealastadh | NA9821 |
| Greineim | NA9825 |
| Eilean Molach | NA9932 |
| Old Hill | NB1143 |
| Bereasaidh | NB1242 |
| Floday | NB1241 |
| Campay | NB1442 |
| Cealasaidh | NB1441 |
| Little Bernera | NB1440 |
| Pabay Mor | NB1038 |
| Vacsay | NB1137 |
| Vuia Mor | NB1335 |
| Floday | NB1033 |
| Vuia Beg | NB1233 |
| Wester Ross | - |
| Longa | NG7377 |
| Eilean Furadh Mor | NG7993 |
| Priest Island | NB9202 |
| Glas-leac Beag | NB9205 |
| Bottle Island | NB9501 |
| Carn Iar | NB9602 |
| Carn Deas | NB9602 |
| Eilean Dubh | NB9703 |
| Horse Island | NC0204 |
| Meall nan Gabhar | NC0205 |
| Tanera More | NB9807 |
| Tanera Beg | NB9607 |
| Eilean Fada Mor | NB9707 |
| Eilean a'Char | NB9608 |
| Eilean Mullagrach | NB9511 |
| West Coast Sutherland | - |
| Eilean Mor | NC0517 |
| Froachlan | NC0518 |
| A'Chleit | NC0220 |
| Soyea | NC0421 |
| Eilean Chrona | NC0633 |
| Mor | NC1238 |
| Meall Beg | NC1337 |
| Badcall Bay | NC1540 |
| Handa | NC1348 |
| Loch Laxford | NC2050 |
| Eilean a’ Chunnaidh | NC2057 |
| Am Balg/En Buigach | NC1866 |
| Eilean an Roin Mor | NG4198 |
| An Garbh-eilean | NC3373 |
| Eilean Cluimhrig | NC4665 |
| Rabbit Island | NC6063 |
| Sgeir an Oir | NC6164 |
| Eilean Iosa | NC6365 |
| Coomb Island | NC6664 |
Annex 3. Long-term trends on SPAs in Scotland
Maximum winter numbers of Greenland barnacle geese at nine SPAs in Scotland (Figures 10–18) 1956/57–2019/20. Note that some long-term count ‘sites’ do not match SPA boundaries exactly.
Graph showing the maximum winter count of Greenland barnacle geese on Islay 1956/57 – 2019/20. Bars indicate the maximum winter count and the line indicates the national total based on international censuses. Counts on Islay include geese using the Gruinart Flats, Bridgend Flats and Laggan SPAs as well as geese feeding outwith the SPA areas. Up to 1986/87, bars show maximum winter count. From 1987/88, bars show the mean of up to four island-wide counts undertaken each winter. Counts have increased over time and levelled off in recent years.
Graph showing the maximum winter count of Greenland barnacle geese on Coll 1956/57 – 2019/20. Bars indicate the maximum winter count and dots indicate years when no data were collected. Lines indicate national total based on international censuses. Counts have increased since the 1980s.
Graph showing the maximum winter count of Greenland barnacle geese on the Monarch Isles 1956/57 – 2019/20. Bars indicate the maximum winter count and dots indicate years when no data were collected. Lines indicate national total based on international censuses. Flight restrictions meant that no count was undertaken in March 2018. The highest counts were made in the 1960s.
Graph showing the maximum winter count of Greenland barnacle geese on the North Sutherland Coast 1956/57 – 2019/20. Bars indicate the maximum winter count and dots indicate years when no data were collected. Lines indicate national total based on international censuses. Graph includes counts from Balnakeil (NC3968), Eilean Hoan (NC4467), Eilean nan Ron (NC6365), Neave Island (NC6664), Rabbit Islands (NC6063) and mainland around the Kyle of Tongue. Counts have increased over time.
Graph showing the maximum winter count of Greenland barnacle geese on the North Uist Coast and Islands 1956/57 – 2019/20. Bars indicate the maximum winter count and dots indicate years when no data were collected. Lines indicate national total based on international censuses. Counts have increased over time.
Graph showing the maximum winter count of Greenland barnacle geese on the Shiants 1956/57 – 2019/20. Bars indicate the maximum winter count and dots indicate years when no data were collected. Lines indicate national total based on international censuses. Counts have declined in recent years.
Graph showing the maximum winter count of Greenland barnacle geese on Switha (South Walls, Orkney) 1956/57 – 2019/20. Bars indicate the maximum winter count and dots indicate years when no data were collected. Lines indicate national total based on international censuses. The island of Switha (ND3690) where the geese roost is an SPA, however, the daytime feeding grounds are on a nearby island (South Walls, ND3189) which is not an SPA. Note too that an additional 737 barnacle geese were recorded on South Ronaldsay in 2020 (not included in the graph above). It is not known where that flock of geese roost, but it is probable that they too roost on Switha. Numbers increased from the 1980s and levelled off in the past 20 years.
Graph showing the maximum winter count of Greenland barnacle geese on Sleibhtean agus Cladach Thiriodh (Tiree Wetlands and Coast) 1956/57 – 2019/20. Bars indicate the maximum winter count and dots indicate years when no data were collected. Lines indicate national total based on international censuses. Counts on Tiree include geese using the Sleibhtean agus Cladach Thiriodh SPA as well as geese feeding outwith the SPA. Numbers steadily increased from the 1980s.
Graph showing the maximum winter count of Greenland barnacle geese on the Treshnish Isles 1956/57 – 2019/20. Bars indicate the maximum winter count and dots indicate years when no data were collected. Lines indicate national total based on international censuses. Geese are quite mobile in this area, with birds likely ranging from the westernmost isles, e.g. Bac Mor (NM2438), Staffa (NM3235) and occasionally using Inch Kenneth (NM4345). There have also been reports of barnacle geese in fields at Fidden on Mull (NM3021) which may belong to this group. Numbers have decreased over time.